Pacers tiebreak final prediction and historical record

NBA officials have begun to hype the upcoming game seven of the Finals, which is scheduled to start on June 23. This key battle will be extremely fierce, and for the Pacers, who ranked fourth in the Eastern Conference, if they ultimately win the championship, it will be regarded as a very unexpected victory, especially against the league-leading Thunder. Siakam played stably in the Pacers, averaging 32.8 minutes per game, scoring 19.8 points, 8.3 rebounds, 4 assists, 1.7 steals and 1.3 blocks, shooting percentage of 46.4%, and 34.8% from three-point shooting percentage. In comparison, Halliburton performed slightly worse, averaging 33.8 minutes per game, scoring 14.8 points, 6.8 assists, 5.3 rebounds, 1.3 steals, 0.7 blocks, with a shooting percentage of 44.7%, and a three-point shooting percentage of 31.7%. According to data, if the Pacers did not perform well in the tiebreak championship, the FMVP is likely to fall into Siakam's hands, indicating that the Pacers' leader is actually Siakam, not Halliburton.

However, the Pacers are highly regarded as the visiting team. According to BXR's prediction, the Pacers are only 19.2% likely to win the championship. Polymarket, data prediction agency, also believes that the Pacers' chances of winning the championship 4-3 are only 29%. Even ESPN gave the Thunder's chance of winning at home tiebreak of 59.3%, while the Pacers were only 40.7%. If the Pacers win away, history will be made.

Since 1974, there have been only three times when the Finals draws and the visiting team won. If the Pacers become the fourth team to do so in 2025, it will set a new record in 51 years, which is the fourth time that the fourth away team won the championship in the last 51 finals. From 1988 to 2025, the only visiting teams who were able to win the finals tiebreak are the Cavaliers in 2016. In that game, LeBron James led the team to a historic 1-3 reversal in five statistics. If Siakam can reproduce the miracle of James in 2016, he is expected to enter the top ten players in active service.