Real Madrid VS Barcelona, ​​Mbappe meets Yamal, is there any suspense in the 6-point battle at the top of La Liga?

Previously, a football enthusiast shared with me a method for judging the popularity of football matches, and how to strictly distinguish between strengths. It is conceivable that this football enthusiast should have gradually realized his problem during football matches.

Whether it is strength or popularity, first of all, we need to understand that these two concepts are included in the preview of football matches and need to be grasped in essence. Strength is a combination of the basic situation of both sides in a football match, player composition, team management, and the team's overall performance over the years; popularity is a football match's recognition in the hearts of the audience based on basic strength, recent performance, matchups, etc.

In addition, strength is a yardstick for measuring the true level of a team, and popularity is a concept that shows a team's recognition in the minds of the audience.

Under normal circumstances, many football fans can distinguish between strength and popularity. However, in some special circumstances, such as obvious differences in performance, strong contrast in matchups, etc., many football fans are easily confused.

For example: Cagliari plays against Parma. If the performance difference between the two teams is not big, many football enthusiasts can make accurate judgments; if there is a team that performs very well, or a team that has a good record against each other, many football enthusiasts will confuse strength with popularity, and will always think that a team that performs well or plays against a team with good results is better. This is confusing strength with probability.

Continue the preview of this round of competition!

La Liga: Real Madrid VS Barcelona

In terms of strength, Real Madrid and Barcelona are second to none in La Liga. Taken together, the strength of Real Madrid and Barcelona is relatively close, and the overall gap is within one level. Real Madrid's overall strength is more balanced.

Real Madrid performed well, scoring 24 goals in ten games, and scored three points in nine games. The main scorer Mbappe performed stably, and the cooperation between the players was relatively tacit. The defensive performance was also good, conceding 10 goals in ten games, and the ability to hinder opponents was good. This kind of performance has some beneficial effects on Real Madrid's popularity.

Barcelona's performance is not bad either. They scored 27 goals in ten games, and scored three points in seven of them. Yamal's performance was outstanding, and the tacit understanding between the players was also very good. Their performance on the defensive end is also worthy of recognition. They conceded 12 goals in ten games, and their ability to hinder opponents is trustworthy. This kind of performance has some beneficial effects on Barcelona's popularity.

In the match between Real Madrid and Barcelona, ​​the advantages and disadvantages are not obvious, but in the last 5 confrontations, Barcelona has a clear advantage.

Based on the strength, recent performance, and matchup situation of the two teams, the popularity of Real Madrid and Barcelona is judged. Real Madrid is popular, and Barcelona is also popular. The advantages and disadvantages are not obvious, and there are strong points of variability in popularity.

Further combine the strength and recent performance of the two teams to judge the probabilities of Real Madrid and Barcelona. The probability of Real Madrid has not changed much, the probability of shaking hands and making a draw has not changed much, and the probability of Barcelona has not changed much.

In the game between Real Madrid and Barcelona, ​​the difference in strength is not obvious, and there are no obvious advantages and disadvantages in popularity and probability. What should it look like when applied to the index? Does the position of the index refer to strength or a shift in popularity?

It is less likely that the handshake will come true in the game. When the strength gap is not large, there is some popularity, and the probability does not change much, the index is not a good application of the actual situation of strength probability and popularity. Although some use is made of the popularity at both ends, there is almost no use of the probability situation.

Barcelona may get what they want in the game. When the difference in strength is not large, the advantages and disadvantages of popularity are not obvious, and the probability changes little, the index can make better use of the actual situation of strength probability and popularity, and transfer the popularity to the direction of Real Madrid while suppressing the popularity as much as possible.

Real Madrid may not be able to achieve what they want in the game. When the difference in strength is not large, the advantages and disadvantages of popularity are not obvious, and the probability changes little, the index's use of the actual situation of strength probability popularity is not good, and the comprehensive use of strength probability popularity is somewhat excessive. Taken together, Barcelona may get what they want in the game.

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