Lao Min s football match analysis on August 12: Mourinho leads the team and Fenerbahce reverses at home?

【Tuesday 005】Bruges vs. Salzburg

Bruges won the derby against Segra 2-0 in the last round, and scored 6 points after three rounds of the new season. The only loss was that he lost to Mechelen on the eve of the Champions League. Bruges missed the Champions League with a 3-point gap last season, so he had to start from the qualifying round and challenge Salzburg in the first leg. Welmant made the final decision in the second half, helping Bruges get the lead in advance. This time he stayed at home and defended the draw was enough to get them into the play-offs. In terms of personnel, Christos Zorlis has won three goals in the past five games and is in a hot state. Nelson and Scolas are absent due to injuries.

Salzburg defeated Graz AK 5-0 last weekend, ushering in the first league victory of the new season, sweeping away the haze of three consecutive games that had not won. Salzburg had only 20 shots in the first leg, but he could not break through Bruges' goal. Now the team is in a passive situation. Only by doing all his strength can there be a glimmer of hope. If he does nothing again in the second leg, the record of entering the Champions League six consecutive times will be over. The new season has just begun, but Salzburg is suffering from injuries. As many as 9 players may be absent due to injuries in this game, including Karim O and Connate's offensive duo.

Bruges leads 1-0 in the first leg. Salzburg must win with all his strength to counterattack. When Bruges can accept a draw, the home team starts with -0.75 and -1, which should be said to give the home team great support. At present, the mainstream generally gives -1, and the upshift shows more support. I am optimistic that Bruges will beat Salzburg again.

[Tuesday 002] Fenerbahce vs Feyenoord

[Overview of both sides]

Fenerbahce is coached by famous coach Mourinho. Last season, they were eliminated by Lille in the third lap of the Champions League qualifiers. Both sides once reached overtime. Fenerbahce unfortunately missed the opportunity to advance to the play-off. The team made a comeback this season and came to the key battle in the third round again. Feyenoord is a strong Eredivisie. Last season, they became the dark horse of the Champions League. They not only advanced from the league stage, but also eliminated AC Milan and entered the round of 16.

[Special Reminder]

Fenebache's lineup includes Fred, Sk, Amrabat, Ennisili and many other players who have played in the five major leagues. In addition, they were defeated in the first round and will give it a try when they return to their home court.

[Psychological Error]

The market support rate for wins, draws and losses minus the corresponding result probability of each bonus, and the percentage obtained is the error value, which measures psychological error.

Win: -5%, draw: 5%, loss: 0%

[Data disassembly]

Fenerbahce is inferior to Feyenoord in terms of fame, lineup strength, Champions League experience, etc. Feyenoord won the first leg and was close to the top 16 of the Champions League last season, so he has more strength in this game. At this time, the data opened to a very deep 0.75 concession to support the home team. Subsequent changes continue to increase the home team's confidence, and it is recommended to win the home team.