World-Europe Preliminary Group G Focus Battle·Orange Clothes VS Eastern European Cavalry·Octopus and Defense War is about to begin

Recent performance comparison: The two heroes are very different in their states. The Netherlands team has won all three games in the World Cup and led Group G with 9 points, averaging 2.7 goals per game and conceded 0.3 goals. At home, John Cruyff Arena has won 10 goals in the last five games. The defense line led by Van Dijk has only conceded 0.3 goals per game. The offensive and defensive conversion efficiency of the midfield and front court composed of De Jong and Garkepo is amazing. Haaland (naturally-made forward) has a hot state in 4 games in the World Cup qualifiers. Poland is showing a strong home and weak away from home. He has 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss at home in the World Cup, but he has 6 points, but he has 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses away. Although Lewandowski has 3 goals in 3 games, his lack of creativity in the midfield has led to a single offense. Strong teams such as Croatia and Portugal have taken away their victory away.

Historical confrontation: The Orange Army has dominated but has hidden worries

The last five matches against the Netherlands have been unbeaten by 3 wins and 2 draws. The classic battle to reverse Poland 2-1 in the 2024 European Cup is still vivid in my mind. The Netherlands maintained a 60-year unbeaten record against Poland at home, and won 2-0 in the latest home match (2022 European League). However, Poland defeated the Netherlands 1-0 away in 2019, and Lewandowski's header exposed the shortcomings of the Netherlands' high-altitude defense. The Netherlands has averaged 62% ball possession rate in the last 10 matches, with a 18:9 shot ratio, but Poland's counterattack efficiency is amazing - Lewandowski directly participated in 4 goals against the Netherlands in the last 5 matches.

Tactical Game: All Attack and All Defense VS Iron-Blooded Counterattack

The Netherlands 4-3-3 system emphasizes the combination of high-level pressing and the side-middle, De Jong's vertical pass and Gakebo's wing breakthrough form a double insurance. Poland's 5-4-1 formation is based on defense. After Lewandowski as a fulcrum to attract defense, Zelinsky and Cash launched a counterattack through long passes. In the key matchup, Van Dijk needs to be alert to Lewandowski's penalty area grabbing (Lewandow's header rate this season is 40%), and De Jong and Crichoviak's pass control vs. steal confrontation will determine the control of the midfield. If Poland shrinks its defense, the Netherlands needs to break the deadlock through set pieces (35% scoring rate of set pieces in the last 5 games).

Score prediction and risk assessment

The main winning odds of the institution are 1.26, and the Netherlands has a 2-0/3-1 winning probability of 60%. But beware of Polish set pieces tactics (scoring 2 goals in the last 3 set pieces) and Lewandowski's counter-offside assault. If the Netherlands cannot break the first half, Poland may exert its strength after 75 minutes of the second half through physical energy consumption - Poland conceded 60% of the goals in this period in the past three years. Comprehensive offensive and defensive data, predicting the Netherlands 2-1 Poland, and the goal period may be concentrated in the second half 60-75 minutes.

Summary: Strategic Value and Highlights

This game is a battle for the top spot in the World and European Group G. If the Netherlands wins, it will consolidate the initiative to qualify, and Poland may fall to fourth place if it loses. On the tactical level, the Netherlands' full offense and defense and Poland's defensive counterattack form a classic duel, and the match between Lewandowski and Van Deck can be regarded as the collision of the top central axis in Europe. For fans, this offensive and defensive battle will present the ultimate competition between the art of passing and controlling and iron-blooded defense, while the Dutch benches such as Weghorst and Mullen may become the winner. Regardless of the result, this focus battle will write a strong mark for the 2026 World Cup qualifiers.