Welcome to lucy Sport

lucy Sport

After the defending champion was eliminated 2-4, the US media updated the probability of winning the championship! The Nuggets ranked last by 7.1% of the Thunder 56.2%

10:54am, 19 May 2025Basketball

After G6 lost to the Knicks, defending champion Celtics was eliminated 2-4 in a big score and stopped in the Eastern Conference semi-finals. The US media "theanalyst" also updated the probability of winning the championship in the first time based on big data, with the Nuggets at the bottom of the bottom, while the Thunder ranked first with 56.2%.

East and East playoffs are as follows: Pacers 4-1 Cavaliers, Knicks 4-2 Celtics;

Western: Thunder 3-3 Nuggets, Timberwolves 4-1 Warriors.

Fifth place: Nuggets (7.1%)

At the end of the season, when serious problems arose within the team. When coach Malone, who has coached the team for 10 years, was fired together with the general manager, the Nuggets showed amazing resilience and team strength in the playoffs.

not only defeated the Clippers in the first round, but also equalized the score again and again in desperate situations when facing the Thunder, the No. 1 in the regular season league in the second round, dragging the series into tiebreak.

plus Shams's exposure that Gordon had a strained left hamstring, and he is likely to miss the tiebreak, which makes the Nuggets, which lacks the lineup depth, make it worse. He can only expect Jokic to hand over a more exaggerated performance while the rest of the players can also play the role of surprises, but the Thunder, which is expected to return to home, will not give the Nuggets a chance to upset.

4th place: Knicks (9.1%)

Knicks eliminated the defending champion Celtics with a score of 4-2, and will face the Pacers in the second round. Big Data is relatively optimistic about the Knicks defeating the Pacers, but not optimistic about the probability of the Knicks competing for the championship after entering the finals.

The reason is also very simple. This season's playoffs have significantly relaxed the verdict standards, resulting in injuries becoming the decisive factor in the series' victory and loss. The Warriors, Celtics and Cavaliers were all eliminated.

The Nuggets, which have not even been eliminated, are likely to be eliminated due to Gordon's injury, and the Knicks' Thibaudor's employment is extremely strict, and the Knicks' injury risks are very high, which is very likely to hinder the team's pace of championship competition.

3rd place: Pacers (12.2%)

Pacers beat the Eastern Conference First Cavaliers 4-1 to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals. In addition, the overall injury situation and rotation are slightly better than the Knicks, so they have a better chance of winning the championship.

However, the Pacers are a typical offensive team, and the defensive end is not reliable enough. Both the Bucks and the Cavaliers suffered extremely serious injuries during the promotion process.

plus Pacers core Halliburton has twice given a winning shot to prove himself, but his ability to resist production is poor, which is also the core reason why Pacers are frequently despised.

Second place: Timberwolves (15.4%)

From this list of probability of winning the championship, it is not difficult to see that the NBA is currently clearly "strong in the West and weak in the East", with the top two being Western teams.

The Timberwolves, which eliminated the Lakers and Warriors, ranked second, but it is very difficult for the Timberwolves to break out of the West, and the probability of advancing to the finals is only 26.1%.

The reason is that the Timberwolves are a relatively poor team. The offensive end relies heavily on Edwards' development. The latter adjusted his playing style this season and started to shoot a large number of three-pointers, but it is not stable. Gobert seems to be the core on the defensive end, but it is easy to be targeted in big defense and small defense, so it is a team with obvious advantages and disadvantages.

No. 1: Thunder (56.2%)

is the number one in the Western Conference. The Thunder has always been the biggest favorite to compete for the championship with the big data, especially after experiencing the baptism with the Nuggets in the second round, this Thunder has completely entered the state, and Alexander will continue his dominance to the playoffs.

As long as you defeat the tenacious Nuggets in tiebreak, the Thunder have an absolute advantage compared to the other three teams.

The Thunder's core Alexander is more reliable, has better lineup depth and rotation numbers, and has good health. At the same time, he has a balanced offense and defense. Whether facing the Timberwolves or potential finals opponents Knicks and Pacers, the Thunder will be the only championship team, but the premise is that there is no accident in a tiebreak that determines the outcome.

Links: