Win two more games to qualify! Inter Milan can cross the line first, Real Madrid and Paris are difficult, and the dark horse of the Champions League is no longer dark

In the new season of the Champions League, two rounds of 36 games have been completed. Bayern Munich, Real Madrid and Paris Saint-Germain are the top three in the standings. Karabakh, from Azerbaijan, entered the Champions League for the second time after eight years and became one of the six teams with two consecutive victories. Inter Milan and Arsenal also maintained a complete victory.

This is the second season of the new competition format for the Champions League. Only the top 24 teams can qualify and avoid early elimination. So, how many points are needed?

Since there is not much data to refer to, we can only base it on the situation of the last edition. The 24th place in the Champions League is Bruges, including Manchester City, Sporting CP, Club Brugge and Dinamo Zagreb. Four teams have a total of 11 points, and three teams have qualified. Only Dinamo Zagreb was eliminated in 25th place.

The Europa League also uses the same competition format. The 24th place is Fenerbahce, including Thessaloniki, Twente, Fenerbahce, Braga and Elfsburg. The five teams have 10 points, three teams qualify, and the next two teams are eliminated. There are only 6 games in the UEFA Champions League league stage, which is different from the Champions League and cannot be used as a reference.

It can be seen that if you scored 12 points in the Champions League last season, you will definitely qualify, and if you scored 11 points in the Europa League, you will definitely qualify. Therefore, in the absence of much reference data, we will temporarily use 12 points as the basic score for qualifying in the Champions League stage.

According to this standard, the current six winning teams can basically get the right to qualify as long as they win two more games. Among them, Real Madrid and Paris Saint-Germain are the most difficult, and Inter Milan is the easiest and is expected to be the first to cross the line. Karabakh is beginning to encounter strong opponents, and the dark horse of the Champions League is no longer dark.

Bayern Munich is ranked first, and the next two opponents are Club Brugge and Paris Saint-Germain. Club Brugge ranks second in the Belgian league and beat Ligue 1 powerhouse Monaco in the first round. However, it is often difficult to win against wealthy teams. Last season, they lost to Dortmund, AC Milan and Manchester City, and could only qualify in last place. This season, after Bayern won seven consecutive victories in the Bundesliga, it is already 5 points away from second place and can focus on the Champions League.

Real Madrid and Paris Saint-Germain are closely followed, and the situation is similar. The next two opponents are both very strong in terms of reputation. Real Madrid plays Juventus at home and challenges Liverpool away. However, the recent situation of both teams is a bit bad. After Juventus lost to Como, they suffered their first defeat in the league and were winless in 6 games in all competitions. After Liverpool lost to Manchester United, they went from a 7-game winning streak to a 4-game losing streak. It can be said that La Liga leader Real Madrid should have the best chance to win when they meet Juventus and Liverpool.

Paris Saint-Germain has just lost the top spot in Ligue 1 and will soon face the Bundesliga duo in the Champions League, an away game against Leverkusen, and a home game against Bayern Munich. After Ten Hag dismissed get out of class, Leverkusen performed well. After three consecutive league victories, the points were tied with Dortmund, which had just suffered its first league defeat, and was only 2 points away from second place. Needless to say, Bayern is regarded as one of the favorites for the championship and has no opponents in the Bundesliga. Dembele and Marquinhos are expected to return, and Paris has received strong support. The team's weakness may still come from the goalkeeper. Chevalier has both magical performances and low-level mistakes. Compared with Donnarumma, there is still a long way to go in terms of stability.

Inter Milan next faces Belgian leader Saint-Giroir and home game against Kairat Almaty. Since losing to Udinese and Juventus in succession, Inter Milan has shown strong strength, winning six consecutive victories in Serie A and the Champions League, rising to second place in the league, and is in very hot form. If they win two consecutive games and score 12 points in four rounds, they are expected to be the first team to qualify.

Arsenal, the Premier League leader, will meet Atletico Madrid and Slavia Prague from the Czech Republic. Judging from the current situation, Arsenal has a higher chance of winning against Atletico Madrid at home. I believe it is difficult for the Czech team to pose a big threat. After all, Arsenal at the beginning of the season must be trustworthy. Manchester United's old captain Ferdinand also said that Arsenal needs to win the championship this year and cannot always be ranked second.

As for the dark polo team Karabakh, the real challenge is coming. In the first two rounds, Karabakh did not meet the traditional giants, and scoring all 6 points was not convincing enough. The remaining six opponents are all powerful teams from major leagues, including Bilbao in La Liga, Chelsea and Liverpool in the Premier League, Napoli in Serie A, Eintracht Frankfurt in the Bundesliga, and Ajax in the Eredivisie. If Karabakh can score enough points among these opponents and eventually rank among the top 24, it will be considered a real dark horse.

12 points should be the basic score for qualifying for the Champions League. For the 6 winning teams, they can qualify by winning two more games. Inter Milan has the greatest hope, and Arsenal's chances are not small. It is really not easy for Real Madrid and Paris to win 4 consecutive games. Bayern needs to face Paris. In the past year, the two teams met once each in the Champions League and Club World Cup, and each won one. Anything can happen. Whether Karabakh is a dark horse or not will be revealed in the next two rounds.