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From the perspective of the expansion node, if the rules continue in the 2026 World Cup, then the champion may be the European team - most likely Germany

2:04pm, 7 September 2025Football

How to understand the World Cup? Some people regard it as a pure football event, only watching the football, not watching the others. Some people regard it as a large festival event. In addition to watching football, they will also pay attention to everything around them, such as culture, data, gimmicks, etc.

I belong to the latter. Football is entertainment, and I often say this. Since it is entertainment, of course, its so-called orthodoxy can be deconstructed from different angles. Many people like to summarize the rules of the World Cup. In fact, there are no rules, they are just a combination of coincidences. But can you say these people are guilty? For example, many people like to speculate on who the next World Cup champion will belong to based on the history of the previous World Cup. This has nothing to do with rational analysis, but only with entertainment splicing of a series of coincidences. If someone is serious about this, it is really too tiring to live. OK, in the context of entertainment, let’s start today’s topic. Who will win the championship in the 2026 World Cup? The 2026 World Cup is definitely one of the most special World Cups in history. Because, the scale of this World Cup will reach 48 teams unprecedentedly. This is also the largest expansion in the history of the World Cup.

Okay, let's take a look at how many times have the army expanded in the history of the World Cup. In the early World Cup, the competition system was not perfect and the teams often could not make up a complete number, but overall, the scale of about 16 teams has been maintained. This scale continued until 1978. 1982 was the first time that the World Cup had expanded its troops in a true sense, with 16 turning into 24. Therefore, the 1978 World Cup was the last World Cup in the top 16 era, and the 1982 World Cup was the first World Cup in the top 24 era. 1978 and 1982 are the two transition nodes. So, who was the champion at that time? Argentina and Italy. There is nothing to tell, let's continue. The World Cup has expanded again in 1998, the era of the top 24 ended and the era of the top 32 arrived. 1994 and 1998 are transition nodes. The champions are Brazil and France. OK, now I have some clues. Simply put, every time the World Cup reaches its military expansion, the champions of the last World Cup before the military expansion come from South America, and to be more precise, either Brazil or Argentina. The first World Cup after the expansion came from Europe. Italy and France are both traditional European strong teams. Let's go back to the present. In 2026, the World Cup will expand again, and the top 32 will become the top 48. Therefore, 2022 and 2026 are the two nodes of the transition. The 2022 World Cup champion is Argentina, which conforms to the previous rules. So, in 2026, is it the European team's turn again? The first two times were Italy and France. Is it time for Germany to turn? In terms of World Cup wins and historical total results, Germany, Italy and France should be among the top three in Europe. Since Italy and France support this rule, it is Germany's turn to stand up. At present, Germany has initially completed the transition from old to old. Although Kroos retired, the younger generation such as Wilz and Musiara have gradually begun to take the lead. In the 2024 European Cup, Germany has actually shown a trend of emerging from the trough. It is no exaggeration to say that at that time, only Germany could play against Spain. So, in terms of strength, Germany is likely to win the championship, although they will not be the number one hottest. Of course, the rules of the World Cup are intertwined and there are situations of fighting each other. For example, the 2026 World Cup was held in North America, and the first three World Cups held in North America all came from South America - Brazil in 1970, Argentina in 1986, and Brazil in 1994. Since the two major laws collided, it depends on who has a stronger fate. Finally, entertainment is innocent.

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