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Analysis of qualifying for the Club World Cup: Inter Milan is more beneficial than the first in the group, and may meet Dortmund

7:49am, 28 June 2025Football

The last round of the Club World Cup group stage continued. Bayern Munich lost to Benfica and handed over the first place in the group. He avoided Chelsea in the quarterfinals and faced Flamenco from South America. Benfica, who was unbeaten in three rounds, met Chelsea in the first round of the knockout stage, and new aid Drapp scored his first goal after joining.

At present, all group stages have been completed in the four groups, plus Juventus and Manchester City, a total of 10 teams have obtained the right to qualify, 6 teams in Europe, 3 teams in South America, and the rest is host Miami International. Later, in the last round of the group E and F, four teams will be produced in the last round of the group, starting on the same day of the four games.

Group E, Riverbed and Inter Milan have 4 points, Monterrey has 2 points, Urawa Red Diamond has 0 points. Urawa Red Diamonds from Asia have been eliminated, and no team has advanced early. The last round riverbed meets Inter Milan directly, while Monterrey faces Urawa Red Diamonds.

Interestingly, although River Plate temporarily beats Inter Milan and ranks first in the group, the qualifying situation is just the opposite. There is still a possibility of being eliminated in the final round of the river bed. In contrast, Inter Milan will definitely advance to the knockout stage with just one draw, which is more beneficial than the first in the group. Why is this?

It turns out that according to the rules of the Club World Cup, teams with the same points in the group stage will be given priority to compare the results of the match. Since the match between River Plate and Inter Milan has not yet begun, River Plate is temporarily ranked first in the group by virtue of its overall goal difference.

If River Plate draws with Inter Milan in the last round and Monterrey wins, these three teams will have 5 points together, and the match results between the three teams need to be compared first. Previously, Monterrey drew 1-1 with Inter Milan and 0-0 with River Plate.

Therefore, if three teams have 5 points, the three teams will draw each other and the goal difference is zero. Only the number of goals can be compared. Inter Milan will definitely score one more goal than River Plate and will definitely be able to qualify. For River Plate, a draw of 2-2 or above is required to ensure qualifying. If you draw with Inter Milan 0-0, you will definitely be eliminated. If you 1-1, you will have to compare the total goal difference and other data in the group with Monterrey.

Simply put, Inter Milan can qualify if they are unbeaten, River Plate can qualify if they are unbeaten, and Monterrey can be eliminated if they are unbeaten. In other cases, the results of the last two games need to be considered comprehensively to produce two teams on the off-line.

Group F, Fruminense and Dortmund scored 4 points together, Mamerodi scored 3 points in sunset, Ulsan HD only scored 0 points, Ulsan HD from Asia has been eliminated early. In the last round, Dortmund faces Ulsan HD and Fruminense faces Mamelodi sunset.

Although the points of this group look a bit similar to those of Group E, the qualifying situation is clearer. If Mamerodi draws against Fruminense at Sunset, he will definitely be eliminated since he lost to Dortmund before. If he wants to qualify, he can only defeat the South American giants.

Frumenense and Dortmund are in similar situations. As long as you get a draw in the last round, you can successfully advance to the top 16. If both teams lose, since the two sides have previously drew, they need to compare the total goal difference and other data to determine the level. Dortmund's situation is very good. Facing a weak team in the last round, he has a chance to advance even if he loses. Whether new player Bellingham can continue to score goals is worth paying attention to.

Overall, it is not difficult to win the final round of Monterrey in Group E. The qualifying situation in this group is mainly affected by the results of Inter Milan and River Plate, and the variables are still quite large. Frumenense and Dortmund in Group F have a relatively high chance of getting the right to qualify together. According to the matchup chart, the qualifying teams in these two groups will meet crosswise to compete for two quarter-finals. Inter Milan and Dortmund have a chance to meet?

It should be noted that the overall temperature in the United States is currently quite high, and some places have seen the highest temperatures in several years. Teams from Europe will obviously encounter more trouble. In addition to the past many games, many fans feel that the referee's judgment is not conducive to European teams. In this Club World Cup, Porto and Atletico Madrid have been eliminated. At least in the group stage, it seems that it is not a situation where European teams "sweep".

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