6/9 Today s Football Analysis: Data View + B Points Forecast Belgium vs Wales Croatia vs Czech Republic

Monday World and European Preparation 002 Belgium vs Wales

1. Fighting intention and situation

Belgium: After drawing 1-1 in the first game, he ranked last in the group with 1 point, and three-pointers at home urgently need to reverse the decline. The total lineup is worth over 700 million euros, but its recent form is sluggish (2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the last 10 games), and its offensive conversion rate is insufficient (17 shots on the court only 1 goal).

Wales: 2 wins, 1 draw and lead the group with 7 points, swept Liechtenstein 3-0 in the last round, and was unbeaten in 5 wins and 4 draws in the last 9 games. The defense is solid (conceding only 3 goals in the last 6 games), but the away game is weak (2 wins and 6 draws in the last 10 away games).

2. Core players and tactics

Belgium:

Advantages: De Bruyne's midfield dispatch (87% pass success rate) + Lukaku's fulcrum role (average 4.1 per game and successfully compete for top-scoring), relying on multi-ku to break through on the wing.

Hidden danger: Goalkeeper Courtois is absent due to injury, his defense line is aging (only 1 clean sheet in the last 5 games), and his offense and defense are unbalanced on the right.

Wales:

counterattack weapon: Brennan Johnson (20 goals and 5 assists in the season) The speed threatens to a great speed, Kiefer Moore competes for the top of the high altitude + set-piece support.

Formation: intensive defense 5-4-1, midfielder Solba Thomas intercepted the key.

3. Historical confrontations and data

have played against Belgium in the last 5 matches, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, but Wales advanced 3-1 in the quarter-finals of the 2016 European Cup and became a psychological bargaining chip.

The key to winning and losing: Belgium is strong at home (7 wins in the last 10), but if 1.25 goals are allowed to defend a small victory in the deep set, Wales conceded the goal first and lost 100% away game.

4. Results prediction

Score tendency: Belgium 2-1 (main victory probability 65%), total goals 2-3 goals.

Core logic: Belgium's technical suppression + home court scores power, but the loopholes in the defense may give Wales a chance to counterattack; Wales' defensive resilience cannot stop the Red Devils' front line from ending the battle.

Suggested direction: Win Number of goals: 2/3 Score reference: 2-0 3-0 2-1

Monday World European Qualification 005 Croatia vs Czech Republic

Recent status

Croatia: The last round of World War qualifiers beat Gibraltar 7-0 away, Perisic was in a hot state with 1 goal and 3 assists, but the offensive efficiency was unstable - the last 3 home games were 17 chances to convert only 4 goals. Strong at home (5 wins and 1 draw in the last 6 games, including France and Portugal).

Czech Republic: Winning in 3 World Cups and conceded only 1 goal, with a stable defense; but weak away games (1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in the past 6 away), and overly relied on Shik (with 40% of the team's goals).

Historical confrontations and tactical games

Every draws (1-1, 2-2) in the last two major matches, Croatia has the advantage of ball possession (59%+), but the Czech Republic is good at defending against the counter-attack + breaking the set ball (all set balls in the last 3 goals).

Key players: Croatia relies on Modric to dispatch + Perisic to break through the wing; Czech needs Sick to get rid of Gvadior's marking, and Saucek later intervenes in to help.

Winning and Losing Hand

Croatia's home ball control and suppression (expected 65% ball control rate), but the efficiency problem needs to be solved; the Czech Iron Barrel Formation + counterattack threatens, if Sick is locked, the attack will be silent.

Forecast

Croatia wins a small victory (2-1 or 1-0), home advantage + multi-point offense breaks, but the Czech set piece may win a game back.

Suggested direction: Win Number of goals: 2/3 Score reference: 1-0 2-1

The article was published earlier, so it only represents my initial opinion. Please refer carefully to it with all readers.