Experts reveal the Thunder s trump card! The Thunder will win the cup at home, and there are 3 reasons

At 8 a.m. on June 23 (), the Thunder will play the finals tiebreak with the Pacers at home. I predict that the Thunder will win the championship at home for three reasons.

First look at the situation of the two teams in the first six games:

Thunder:

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The team lacks pure point guards, and the core Alexander and Jaylen Williams have to score and organize. When the opponent focuses on the defense, they are prone to make mistakes, giving the Pacers a chance to counterattack. Alexander must balance his personal offense and connect the team.

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Jaylen Williams and Homgren need to help Alexander share the burden. Homegren's performance was mediocre, and his light weight made it difficult to defend Turner. He was not accurate in three-pointers from the outside, and sometimes even dragged his legs.

Dort only has defensive value left. He can't make a three-pointer, so the Pacers' defensive pressure will be less.

Dolt's hit rate directly affects the game progress and the opponent's defensive strategy.

Pedestrian:

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Halliburton's injury is worrying, but G6 looks good at his condition. After two days off, he might be better. The Pacers are outstanding this season, and Halliburton's "magic" is unforgettable. They are in high morale and confident that they can win away games.

But the Pacers' key problem is: there is a lack of singles in the decisive moment. They have to score by catching the Thunder and making a quick break. If you want to win, you have to open the score gap early like G6. If the stalemate reaches the last 10 points, the Thunder will be more likely because they have players who can play singles. The role player has a great defense in the first six games.

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tiebreaker seven, and the performances of McConnell, Toppin and Mathering are worth looking forward to, especially McConnell, which makes Thunder a headache.

I am optimistic about the Thunder winning the cup at home for three reasons:

1. Alexander must break out

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Back to home, it is time for Alexander to stand up. As the number one scorer, his condition determines the fate of the team. He has to reduce his mistakes and break through Nembhard's defense more decisively, speed up and tear open the Pacers' defense line, and don't let the opponent get too close. If Alexander scores 30+, he is likely to lead the team to win. Because when he scored high scores before, the Thunder basically won.

2. The need for substitutes for the surprises

Thunder substitutes mainly rely on Wiggins (offensive) and Caruso (defense). Caruso sometimes gets three points. The Nuggets tiebreak was because he insisted on Jokic, and the Nuggets were not physically fit, so the Thunder won.

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, but the walker can run better than the Thunder. Therefore, it is crucial whether the Thunder can have another surprise, and this person may change the direction of the game.

3. With tiebreak experience, the picture comes from the Internet

The Thunder just played seven games with the Nuggets in the playoffs and won at home to advance to the Western Conference Finals. This experience makes them more likely to fight life and death. Although the home advantage has limited effect in the finals tiebreak, experience + home atmosphere can improve players' concentration, speed up the pace, and put pressure on the Pacers.

Summary: If the Thunder wants to win, they need to reduce their mistakes. They rely on Alexander to show off their power, play as a substitute, and add experience in tiebreak. Now the balance of victory has leaned towards them.

What do you think? Welcome to chat in the comment section!