Watch the 36th round of Premier League live broadcast for free: Liverpool vs. Arsenal (HD Chinese) full version full video viewing entrance

At 23:30 tonight, the 36th round of Premier League focus will start at Anfield, with defending champion Liverpool playing against Arsenal at home.

Although the Reds have secured the league championship ahead of schedule, the Gunners still need to fight to the death to keep the runner-up seat, and Manchester City's pressing makes this game a "life and death worth 6 points." Combining the gap in fighting intentions and the abnormal movements of institutional data, this article explains in-depth why Arsenal is at least undefeated in this battle, and is even expected to take the lead!

1. The balance of fighting will tilts: The Red Army has no desires and no desires, the Gunners lose the ball = give up the runner-up?

The points situation determines the mentality of the two teams

Liverpool

: 82 points were scored in 35 rounds, leading second place Arsenal 15 points, winning the championship four rounds ahead of schedule. Coach Slot said before the game that he "will rotate the main players and give young players a chance", and core players such as Salah and Van Dijk may only play halftime.

Arsenal

: 67 points were scored in 35 rounds, leading Manchester City only 2 points. If you lose this round, the Gunners are likely to fall to third.

2. Handicap secret: The initial handicap was 0.25 goals "shallow handicap", the water level was abnormal and the Gunners were secretly pushed from "shallow handicap" to "retreat", the institutional attitude reversed

The initial handicap was 0.25 goals (medium and high water), but it suddenly dropped to a tie 6 hours before the start of the game, and the water level of Arsenal's away win dropped sharply from 2.90 to 2.45. This abnormal operation released two major signals:

The weight of fighting will overwhelms strength: The agency determined that Liverpool's rotation lineup was difficult to maintain dominance, and its home court advantage was greatly diluted.

Market funds poured into the Gunners: More than 70% of the bets tend to be unbeaten by the away team, reflecting the consensus between fans and professional investors on Arsenal's score.

Historical data confirms that the "shallow disk trap"

In the past five seasons of the Premier League, there have been 9 cases similar to "the champion team's home court has 0.25 goals and the away team's unbeaten rate is as high as 88.9%. Typical examples are Villa 0-1 at home in 2023, and Manchester United 1-1 in 2024, and Chelsea 1-1 in 2024. In such competitions, the home team lacks fighting intentions, resulting in loose offense and defense, while the away team takes the opportunity to grab points.

3. Tactical game and key players: Gunners' midfield suppression may become a winner

The fatal shortcomings of Liverpool's rotation are expected to send youth training winger Doherty, midfielder Morton and other new players, and Gomez may also play the right-back position. The right-side defense of this lineup just happened to face the strong side offensive of "Martinelli + Zinchenko" on the left. If Salah ends early, the threat of the Reds' counterattack will be sharply reduced.

Arsenal's "field control + speed-up" dual mode

coach Arteta revealed before the game that he would use the midfield triangle of "Odgao + Rice + Smith Rowe", striving to consume Liverpool's physical fitness through ball control, and use Saka and Trosad's wing explosive point capabilities to assault the Reds' defense line. If you fail to score in the first half, Jesus may replace you in the second half to strengthen the penalty area and grab the spot.