Sunday 028 Portuguese Super League [Braga VS Portuguese National] 4.4 high grain rice plan "Hong Xiaoyu" per acre of 16 times high yield! High grain

Braga 2-0 Core Analysis of Portuguese Nationals

1. Comparison of League Situation and Intention

Braga: Ranked 7th, 9 points (6 games 2 wins 3 draws 1 loss), scored 11 goals and conceded 6 goals, only 2 points away from the European War Zone, with a record of 6 wins 3 draws 1 loss in the last 10 home games

Portuguese Nationals: Ranked 15th, 4 points (6 games 1 win 1 draw 4 losses), scored 5 goals and conceded 10 goals, and was only 1 point away from the relegation zone, with a record of 1 win 2 draws 7 in the last 10 away games Loss

Fighting intention assessment: Braga has strong motivation to fight for European competition; Portugal's national relegation is under great pressure, and the home team's fighting intention is clearer

2. Comparison of home and away performance and status

versus Braga (Home) Portugal Nationals (Away) Advantage side has record 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 10 games, 17 goals conceded 7 goals, 10 last 10 games, 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, 7 goals conceded 17 goals Braga's offensive efficiency is 1.7 goals per game at home, 0.7 goals per game at home, 15th lowest in the league, Braga's defensive performance is 0.7 goals per game at home, 6th best in the league, 13th poor in the league, Braga's recent state has 2 wins, 2 wins, 2 in 2 in the last 5 games Draw 1 loss, lost 0-1 in the last round, Guimaraes has lost 1 win, 0 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 games, lost 1-2 in the last round, Arucabraga's ball-control ability is 55% per game, the eighth highest average of 45% per game, and the 14th lowest in the league, Braga

3. Historical confrontations and psychological advantages

In the last 10 encounters, Braga has 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, and has an absolute advantage overall

Latest confrontations (February 2): Braga 1-0 Portuguese Nationals

Historical confrontations are 1-0 Portuguese Nationals

Historical confrontations are obvious: 7 of the last 10 encounters have been scored ≥2

Psychological advantage: Braga has won all the last 5 games against the Portuguese Nationals at home, and the psychological pressure is all in the away team

4. Tactical characteristics and style collision

Braga Tactics: 4-3-3 formation, focusing on high-level pressing + ball control penetration

Excellent midfield control: 86% pass success rate, good at tearing the defense line through short pass penetration

Wind draws into the trap and center back to build an offensive chain, set-piece scoring rate is 21% (League 3)

More active at home: Strengthen the intensity of high-level pressing, 16.5 successful pressing times (League 4)

Main weakness: Louis lost his position during defensive counterattack, and facing a fast counterattack may expose the defense line to press too deeply

Portuguese National Tactics: 5-4-1 formation, focusing on defensive counterattack + Crossing on the side

Main defense: the away game is more contracting the defense line, reducing ball control, focusing on defense and efficient counterattack

The crossing on the side is the main offensive method: 32% of the goals this season come from crossing on the side

Midfielder Duyzak controls the rhythm: 1.8 key passes per game

Main weaknesses: weak away offense, only scored 3 goals in the last 6 away games, lack of organization in the midfield

Tactical collision: Braga's ball control method restrains Portugal's national defensive counterattack; Portugal's national crossing on the side may take advantage of Braga's defensive loopholes, but the overall strength gap is obvious

5. Core players and injuries

Braga core:

Ricardo Holta (Forward): In a hot state, he has scored 4 goals this season and contributed 2 assists, and has scored 3 goals in the last 3 games

Bruno Rodriguez (midfield): The core of the organization, averaging 2.3 key passes per game, controlling the rhythm of the game

Navarro (forward): The breakthrough on the wing is sharp, and it is an important piece in counterattack

Portuguese National Core:

Duyzac (midfield): The commander of the midfield, averaging 1.8 key passes per game, offensive and defensive conversion hub

Luis Rioja (wind): The breakthrough on the wing is sharp, averaging 1.2 outs

Mariano Dias (forward): The core of the forward line, but the condition is sluggish, the club's official game has only 1 in the past 3 years Ball

Injury:

Braga: 4 players were injured (Mode, Noro, Orivila, Vidigarh), but the core lineup was complete

Portuguese national: No clear injury report, but overall condition is poor

Impact assessment: Braga's injury does not affect core combat strength; although the Portuguese national has no obvious injuries, its overall condition is sluggish

6. Gambling data and professional forecasts

Asian handicap: Braga gave 1 goal, the water level is moderate, the market is obviously optimistic about the home team

European losses data: Braga wins 1.42-1.51, draws 4.2-4.4, Portuguese national wins 6.5-7.0

Professional consensus: Most analytical institutions predict that Braga wins 1-2 goals, and the winning rate is generally **68%-71%** Total goal expectations between

: 2 goals, 7 of the two teams have had 7 total goals in their last 10 games. ≥2

Best bet: Braga wins, half-game win - win, score 2-0 or 3-1

Conclusion

Comprehensive analysis shows that Braga will beat the Portuguese Nationals 2-0 at home. The main basis is as follows:

home and away game performance and state advantages are obvious: Braga has 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 home games, with an overall advantage in offense and defense data; Portugal Nationals has only 1 win in the last 10 away games, and is seriously weak on the offensive end

absolute advantage in historical confrontations: Braga has won 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 10 matches against Portugal Nationals, and has a last 5 home game. The battle is complete, and the psychological advantage is huge. The tactical style is incompatible: Braga's ball-control and high-pressing just restrain the Portuguese national's defensive counterattack; Portuguese nationals find it difficult to play the power of crossing tactics away from home. The difference in status of core players: Braga's Horta and Rodriguez are in excellent condition; Portuguese nationals' Dias is in a sluggish state and it is difficult to assume the heavy responsibility of offensive

Gambling data and professional prediction support: mainstream institutions are generally optimistic about Braga's home victory, which is consistent with professional analysis

The game will present a pattern of Braga leading ball control and Portuguese national's defensive counterattack. Braga is expected to take advantage of the home court advantage and the instability of Portugal's national defense, with Holta and Navarro each scoring a goal to win. Although the Portuguese Nationals have a tight defensive organization, they lack effective scoring methods on the offensive end, making it difficult to pose a substantial threat to Braga's goal.

Score prediction: Braga 2-0 Portuguese national