Sunday 012 La Liga [Vallecano VS Sevilla] Vallecano home game! Relegation eager! "Hong Xiaoyu" investment

La Liga Preview: Vallecano vs. Sevilla Score Prediction

Valecano 1-2 Sevilla

Core Analysis

1. Comparison of League Situation and Intention

Valecano: Ranked 14th, 5 points (6 games 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses), 5 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses at home, 5 points from the relegation zone

Sevilla: Ranked 12th, 7 points (6 games 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses), 3 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses away, 6 from the European War Zone Score

Fighting intention assessment: Vallecano is eager to relegate at home; Sevilla's away game is in a European game, with a similar fighting spirit

2. Comparison of home and away performance and status

Valecano Sevilla's advantaged party has 5 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses at home, 17 goals, 16 goals, 3 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses away, 18 goals, 20 goals, Vallecano's recent state has 1 wins, 1 draws, 1 loss in the last 3 games, 1-1 draw, 1 loss in the last round, and Villarreal has basically tied, offensive efficiency is 1.42 goals at home, and the upper and upper tournaments are averaging 1.5 games in the away game in the league Ball, the middle and upper reaches of the league are basically tied, defensive performance averaged 1.33 goals at home, 1.67 goals at home, and 55% away ball in the league, and the 10th highest away ball in the league, 48% away ball in the league, 33% higher than the season average of Vallecano

3. Historical confrontations and psychological advantages

In the last 10 confrontations, Vallecano 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses, and in the last 8 home games against Sevilla, 4 draws and 4 losses, and has no wins

Latest confrontation (September 1, 2025): Vallecano 0-0 Sevilla

Sevilla has not lost in the past 5 away games against Vallecano, and has obvious psychological advantages

4. Tactical characteristics and style collision

Vallecano tactics: 4-3-3 formation, focusing on breaking through the wing + high-pressing

wingers Alberto Moreno and Suso use speed to break through the bottom crossing

midfielder to control the rhythm of the game, and create opportunities through overall advancement and cooperation

high-pressing

defense, forcing the opponent to make a mistake and counterattack on the spot

Sevilla tactics: 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on midfield control + wide attack

forward trident Ocampos, eng - Nesri and Luke Baggio are the core of offense

midfielders control the rhythm of the game, and use short passes to penetrate and tear the defense line

more conservative away game: shrink the defense line, reduce the ball control, focus on defensive counterattack

touched Vallecano's high-level pressing and breakthrough on the wing just restrain Sevilla's dense defense in the middle; Sevilla's away tactics are conservative, and it is difficult to play its offensive characteristics

5. Core players and injuries

Vallecano's core:

de Vrutos (19): a good player on the wing, very fast speed

Alvaro Garcia (18): a technical winger, breakthrough and crossing accurate

Parathon (7 No.): Sharp knife on the front line, sharp sense of smell in front of the goal

Sevilla core:

Ocampos: core of the front line, comprehensive technology, excellent breakthrough and shooting

En - Nesri: center, strong body, and an offensive fulcrum

Aspilicueta: new players, versatile, improve defensive stability

Injury:

Vallecano: defender Luis Felipe (muscular contusion), Abdul Muming (knee injury), and many other defensive players were injured

Sevilla: midfielder Joan Halldan (back injury) has been injured for a long time, forward Alfonso Gonzalez (ankle sprain)

Impact Assessment: Vallecano's injury is more serious, especially on the defensive end, with obvious loopholes in the defense line

6. Gambling data and professional forecasts

Asian handicap: Sevilla Jean-0.25 goals, moderate water level, the market is slightly optimistic about the holiday team

European losses data: Vallecano won 3.00-3.20, draw 3.20-3.40, Sevilla won 2.30-2.50

Professional consensus: Most analytical institutions predict that Sevilla will win 1-2 with the winning rate generally between **45%-55%**

Conclusion

Comprehensive analysis shows that Vallecano will lose 1-2 to Sevilla at home. The main basis is as follows:

Historical confrontation suppression: Vallecano has only won 1 in his last 10 matches against Sevilla, and has not won 8 home matches against Sevilla. His psychological disadvantage is obvious

Injury impact differences: Vallecano has many defensive players, and there are obvious loopholes in the defense line; Sevilla has relatively mild injuries and a complete core framework

away performance has improved: Sevilla has improved its away performance in recent away games, and has achieved 2 wins 1 in the last 3 rounds of away games. The unbeaten record of the draw is complementary: Sevilla's defensive counterattack tactics are just right for the gap behind the defense caused by Vallecano's high-post pressing; Vallecano's ball control advantage is difficult to fully play when facing Sevilla's midfield interception

Gambling data support: both Asian handicap and European odds data show that the market is slightly optimistic about Sevilla, and professional predictions also tend to be a small victory for the away team

The game will show that Vallecano's dominant ball control and Sevilla's defensive counterattack. Vallecano is expected to take advantage of his home court advantage and a wing break, with De Vrutos or Parathon leading the goal. Sevilla may rely on Ocampos' personal ability and the fulcrum of Eun-Nesri to score two consecutive goals in the second half to reverse the score.. In the end, Sevilla defeated Vallecano 2-1 away with better defensive counterattack efficiency and key players' performance.

Score prediction: Vallecano 1-2 Sevilla