Welcome to lucy Sport

lucy Sport

On June 11, professional analysis of betting football; whether there will be suspense when Polish u21 vs. Gru u21!

8:00pm, 11 June 2025Football

Poland U21 vs Georgia U21: Match time, situation of the two teams and prediction analysis

1. Match time and basic information

Match time: 3:00 am on June 12, 2025 (20:00 pm local time on June 11, Europe), the match location is Dubnom Stadium in Zilina, Slovakia.

Event background: The first round of the 2025 European U21 Youth Championship Group C, the two teams faced each other in the main stage of the European Youth Championship for the first time.

2. Analysis of the recent status and lineup of the two teams

1. Poland's U21

Recent performance: Promoted as second in Group D in the qualifiers (4 points behind Germany), and entered the main competition through the second in the group with the best results. The warm-up match was stable, with a draw with Denmark (3-3) and a small victory over Ukraine (3-2) in the last two games, especially in the game against Ukraine, showing tenacious fighting spirit.

Linear Strength: The lineup is mainly local league players (14 people), supplemented by overseas league players (such as Türkiye, the United States, Italy, etc.). The core players include midfielder Filippo Himchak and wide-breathing player Malius Fornardchik. But main striker Simon Vodacchik was absent due to injury and contributed 5 goals and 3 assists in the qualifiers, and his ability to finish the front line may be affected.

Tactical style: Focusing on 4-3-3 formation, emphasizing the combination of midfield control and wing speed, creating opportunities through short pass penetration and crosses from the wing. The defensive end uses a low-post defense line and relies on midfield to chase and restrict the opponent's counterattack, but the forward attack ability is occasionally insufficient when facing intensive defense.

2. Georgia U21

Recent performance: Second in Group C of the qualifiers (11 points behind the Netherlands), eliminated Croatia through a penalty shootout to advance to the main match. The warm-up match was two wins and one loss, defeating Finland and Serbia one after another, but lost 0-1 away to Romania, and its condition fluctuated slightly.

Linear strength: 11 people come from local leagues, and the rest are distributed in Montenegro, Israel, Italy and other leagues. The core players include forward Saba Sazonov (who has been directly involved in 2 goals recently) and midfielder Hazarrovi, but the main center back Golihizer (Serie A Empoli) is absent due to injury and his defense stability is damaged.

Tactical style: Focusing on defensive counterattacks, shrinking the defense line and compressing space, relying on long pass transfers and set pieces (45% of set pieces scores in the qualifiers). The high center forward has outstanding ability to compete for top, but the ground penetration ability is weak and the midfield strangling ability is limited. The defense line pressure is high when facing technical teams.

3. Historical confrontation and psychological factors

Confrontation record: The two teams have played 6 times before, Poland has won 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, won all the last 4 games and the winning and consequent ratio is 14:1, with a significant psychological advantage. The most recent encounter was the 2018 European Youth Games qualifier, with Poland winning 3-0 at home, completely suppressing its opponents through set pieces and counterattacks.

Psychological impact: Poland's historical dominance may put pressure on Georgia, but the latter, as a "dark horse" in the qualifiers (eliminating Croatia at a penalty kick), has the resilience to fight against adversity and may inspire the desire for revenge.

4. Key points and suspense analysis of the game

Poland's midfield control and wing impact

Poland's midfield combination (such as Shimchak and Fornardik) has strong technical ability and passing vision, and the speed of wing players may tear open the Georgian defense line. If the deadlock can be broken through short pass penetration or set balls, the game suspense will be greatly reduced.

Georgia's defensive counterattack and set-piece threat

Georgia's defense line Ingolihizer's absence may have loopholes, but set-piece and Sazonov's personal breakthroughs remain the main threats. If Poland concedes the ball too early or reaches a deadlock, Georgia may create an upset with quick conversions or corner kicks.

On-site adjustment and tactical execution

The Polish coach needs to solve the problem of Vodacchik's forward efficiency after he is absent, which may be compensated by adding midfielder insertion or crossing from the wing; Georgia needs to rely on intensive defense and long passes to find the high center. If Poland's midfielder cannot be restricted from making a goal, the defense line will continue to be under pressure.

Match rhythm and physical fitness distribution Poland tends to consume opponents' physical fitness through ball control in the first 30 minutes. If he fails to score at this time, he may face a counterattack impact from Georgia in the second half. Fluctuations in physical fitness and concentration of young players may also affect the direction of the game.

5. Forecast and Odds Reference

Gambling Data: The initial odds of mainstream institutions show that Poland U21 has a hemisphere, with an odds of about 0.98, and the market is generally optimistic about its home court advantage. The goal count tends to be 2-2.5 goals, reflecting recognition of Poland's offensive ability, but Georgia's defensive counterattack could limit the number of goals.

score prediction: Comprehensive strength, historical confrontation and tactical characteristics, Polish U21 is likely to win 1-0 or 2-1. If Poland breaks the deadlock early, the game may lose suspense; if Georgia withstands the pressure and seizes the opportunity to counterattack, it may draw or lose.

VI. Conclusion: Assessment of suspense degree

Low suspense possibility (60%): Poland has a clear advantage in historical confrontations, overall strength, home atmosphere and tactical restraint. If it performs normally, it is likely to win with a 1-2 goal advantage. The possibility of suspense in

(30%): Georgia's defensive counterattack and set pieces have an upset chance. If Poland's forward is inefficient or makes a defensive mistake, it may be tied or lost by the opponent.

High suspense possibility (10%): In extreme cases, Georgia won a surprise victory with tenacious defense and efficient counterattacks (such as Sazonov scored a single goal), but the probability is relatively low.

Summary: Poland's U21 is the more favored side, but Georgia's resilience and tactical characteristics may make the game full of confrontation. It is recommended to pay attention to Poland's midfield control, Georgia's counterattack efficiency and set-piece opportunities. The game result is likely to be a small victory for Poland, but you need to be wary of unpopular risks.

Links: