[Football Preview] 3-string 1: A typical "avalaway bug" in St. Louis City, Portugal s counterattack is sharp (with sweeping)

Sun 007 US Professional Football Portland Lumberjack VS St. Louis City

Match time: 2025-06-09 07:00

Core Advantage Analysis

Overall state gap is significant:

The loggers: 7 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in 16 games, 26 points (3 points in the US Professional League), a winning rate of 43.8%, an unbeaten rate of 75%

St. Louis City: 3 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in 16 games, a winning rate of 14 points, a winning rate of 18.8%, and an unbeaten rate of only 50%

Conclusion: The loggers are significantly better in their state than their opponents, with 12 points higher than their points.

Offensive firepower crush:

The loggers: 25 goals in 16 games, averaging 1.56 goals per game (middle and upper level of the American League)

St. Louis City: 16 games only scored 13 goals, averaging 0.81 goals per game (downstream level of the league)

Conclusion: The loggers' offensive firepower is far better than their opponents, almost twice that of their opponents.

Home vs Away performance:

The loggers' home game: 5 wins in the last 10 games, with a winning rate of 50%, with a certain home support

St. Louis City's away game: only 1 win in the last 10 games, with a winning rate of 10%. Typical "away bug"

Conclusion: The contrast between home and away performances is extremely large, and the loggers' home advantage is obvious.

Offensive and defensive balance:

Both teams have hidden dangers in defense (the loggers conceded 22 goals, and the St. Louis City conceded 21 goals), but the loggers can better make up for the defensive problems with stronger offense (goal difference +3); St. Louis City has weak offense and defense, with a goal difference -8, and the game tolerance rate is extremely low.

Historical confrontation and data support:

The last confrontation draw, but the data in this game was drawn by 1 goal and the deep set was clearly stated that the loggers would win at least 1 goal, showing that the institution was full of confidence in it.

Potential risk warning

Defensive stability: The loggers average 1.38 goals per game, and if the defense makes a mistake, the opponent may have an opportunity.

Trail difficulty: 1 goal requires a net victory of 2 goals to win. If the logger wins 1 goal slightly (such as 1-0, 2-1), the handicap is only about running water.

Comprehensive conclusions and predictions

The loggers' home win is a reasonable expectation. Its overall state, offensive firepower, and home performance all overwhelmed the opponent, and its data support was sufficient. St. Louis City's poor away record and weak offense are difficult to pose a substantial threat.

Most likely score: 2-1 or 2-0 (the loggers win) It is optimistic that the loggers will control the situation by taking advantage of their offensive advantage, but the defensive hidden dangers may give St. Louis a comfort goal. If you pursue stability, you can win the main game with a single choice; if you accept the handicap gameplay, you need to pay attention to the risk of winning 1 goal.

This loggers are indeed worthy of being high-profile, and their offensive trident should be able to tear the St. Louis City defense line on the home lawn. However, there are often surprises in the US League. If you can't defeat it for a long time at the beginning, your opponent may gradually find the rhythm.

Sun 009 US professional football team Los Angeles FCVS Kansas City Athletics

Match time: 2025-06-09 09:00

Core advantages versus

Overall strength and status:

Los Angeles FC: 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in 15 games (23 points, 40% winning rate, 73.3% unbeaten rate) Strong home dominance: 7 wins in the last 10 home games (70% winning rate, far exceeding the season average) High offensive efficiency: 27 goals (1.8 goals per game), the top in the Firepower League.

Kansas City Athletics: 4 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in 16 games (16 points, winning rate is only 25%) away games: only 2 wins in the last 10 away games (win rate is 20%), and 1.75 goals per game were conceded.

Conclusion: Los Angeles FC completely suppresses its opponents in terms of record, home performance and stability.

Offensive and defensive efficiency:

Offensive end:

Los Angeles FC (27 goals) is close to Kansas (25 goals), but Los Angeles averages 2.1 goals per game at home (calculated based on a 70% winning rate).

Defensive end: Los Angeles FC conceded 22 goals (1.47 goals per game) - hidden danger but not fatal; Kansas conceded 28 goals (1.75 goals per game) - one of the worst defenses in the league.

Keypoint: Kansas's away defense has a very high probability of crashing, and Los Angeles' home firepower can be fully realized.

Confrontation and psychological advantages:

Los Angeles defeated Kansas away in the first leg and had more confidence in returning to home.

Kansas has suffered repeated defeats against strong teams away (such as New York City 0-4 and St. Louis City 1-3).

Risk Warning (Deep Trap)

Potential Problems with Letting 1 Goal:

Los Angeles need to win 2 goals in order to win all the games. But this season: Only 40% of the game's net wins ≥2 goals (3 of 6 wins are 1 goal and a small victory). Out of 7 home wins, 4 games were a small win of 1 goal (57%).

Kansas' offensive counterattack: Although

has poor defense, its 25-goal offensive ability cannot be ignored (1.56 goals per game). If Los Angeles cannot be captured for a long time, they may be attacked and stolen points.

Tactical winner

Breakthrough in Los Angeles:

Using high pressure pressure at home to target Kansas's slow moving defense line (especially on the wing). Settings are a scoring weapon (Kansas high-altitude defense league bottom).

Kansas' survival strategy:

intensive defense + quick counterattack, relying on the personal ability of forward Pride (8 goals in the season). If you hold on in the first half, Los Angeles may be impatient in the second half.

Conclusion and Suggestion

Prevention of winning and losing:

Los Angeles FC's probability of winning at home is more than 65%, and there is no obvious headwind on the fundamentals. But you need to defend against a handicap tie/small win 1 goal (scores 1-0, 2-1).

Handicap strategy: Conservatives: Choose Los Angeles - 0.75 goals (win 1 goal and win half, win 2 goals). Radical: - 1 ball must be protected from water, can be matched with a large ball (> 3 balls).

Score reference: Most likely: 3-1 (Los Angeles fire suppression, Kansas steals 1 goal) Choose: 2-0 (if Kansas attacks are silent) Anti-cold protection: 1-1 (Los Angeles only can't get off the ground for a long time + goalkeeper makes a mistake).

Final recommendation: Los Angeles FC wins (can be used as a courage), but the handicap play should be cautious. If you pursue high returns, you can Bo Los Angeles - 1 goal + big goal (odd combination is about 4.0+).

Sun 011 European League Portugal VS Spain

Match time: 2025-06-09 03:00

Core winner and loser analysis

Strong offense and weak defense have become common

Portugal: Conceded goals in the last 5 games, insufficient coverage of the midfield barrier (Paligna) and slow turning of the defense line (Pepe 39 years old) are easily impacted by speed strikers.

Spain: Average 2.2 goals per game in the last 5 games, the central defender combination (Lenore Mann + Laporte) has poor understanding, and the full-back has left a huge gap after assisting.

Conclusion: Both sides' defense lines are difficult to block the opponent's top forward line, and the probability of a goal battle is > 60%.

Midfield control competition sets the tone

Portugal: The technical flow combination of B-se + Vitinia is good at controlling the field, but lacks Rodri-style hard interception (absent in this game), and may lose the power in the face of Spain's high-pressure pressing.

Spain: Pedri + Olmo's pass-cut system has strong penetration, but Rodri's absence has led to a decrease in defensive hardness. If it is counterattacked by Portugal (B straight pass + Ronaldo forward). It will be extremely dangerous.

Key showdown: Vitinia vs Pedri - Whoever dominates the midfield rhythm will control the lifeblood of the game.

The forward superstar decided the upper limit

Ronaldo's ultimate combat power: 34 goals in the season + European League's final victory, proving that his final power in the penalty area is still top-notch. Facing the young Spanish central defender (KuBazi 17 years old), the experience advantage may turn into a fatal blow.

Yamar's phenomenal explosion: 21 goals and 22 assists + twice against France. His super breakthrough ability will test Portugal's old full-back (Cancelo has strong offense and weak defense).

X factor: If the battle is stalemate, Ronaldo's header/penal and Yamal's ability to hit the wing are both powerful tools to break the situation.

Data and history suggest that the draw

Spain has unbeaten in the last 19 games (14 wins and 5 draws) has shown terrifying stability, but the five draws include strong teams such as Germany and Brazil.

Portuguese has only lost 1 in the last 9 European League games (6 wins and 2 draws), but the opponents are Spain and France in two draws.

Confrontation history confirms the balance of power: the two sides have drawn three times in the last 5 matches (including 1-1 in 2022 UEFA Nations League), and never had a net victory of ≥2 goals.

tactical simulation and score deduction

scenario

probability

key trigger conditions

possible score

open attack

45%

Spain's high-pressure start, Portugal counterattacked sharply

2-2, 3-3

Spain's control field suppression

30%

midfielder is fully controlled, and the side continues to explode

1-2, 1-3

Portuguese anti-counter victory

25%

Royce ended efficiently, and B sent a key pass

2-1, 1-0

The deadlock continues to overtime

★☆

Both sides are afraid of mistakes, and conservative consumption

0-0, 1-1

Core conclusion:

The regular time draw (1-1/2-2) is the most likely script, originating from:

Both sides have significant defensive loopholes, but the offensive end has top terminators to guarantee; midfield technical flow duels are prone to form a balance of power and lack hard-solving ability; under the pressure of the finals, the tendency to conservatize the draw.

Overtime/penalty victory may be determined by the substitute surprise (Jota/Morata) or goalkeeper's divine pounce (Diogo Costa vs Unai Simon).

Betting strategy recommendation

Stable direction: regular time draw (oppossibly about 3.40)

High return options: Total goals ≥3 goals + goals from both sides (odd combination > 4.00)

Star moment: Ronaldo/Yamar's goal (oppossibly 1.90/2.75)

Pit avoidance tips: choose carefully the handicap gameplay, Spain -0.5 or Portugal +0.5 are both at high risk.

Note: The article is only the initial view. The earlier time is due to the changes in data, which may affect the results. Please refer carefully. It is more stable on the spot. Next, there is a left small corner center of gravity analysis.