US media: The Thunder s probability of winning the championship is 87.9% hitting a record high! Alexander has fewer free throws than Jordan, and will win the double MVP and compete with Jordan
10:15pm, 24 May 2025Basketball
On May 24, the latest forecast of the authoritative American website "BR": The Thunder's probability of winning the championship is as high as 86.9%, far exceeding the Knicks (4.1%), Pacers (6%) and Timberwolves (3%) combined. This data set a record of the NBA's historical championship probability, and even the "Cosmic Brave" in 2017 is beyond the reach.
The Thunder ranked first in the league with 68 wins and 14 losses in the regular season, with a winning rate of 82.9%. The defensive efficiency (103.7) and net win per game (+12.6) are both the league's first, and they are a truly offensive and defensive team. The Thunder currently leads the Timberwolves 2:0 and is likely to eliminate the Timberwolves 4:0 or 4:1 to advance to the finals.

Alexander
Alexander
Although the Pacers in the East are also very powerful and are likely to reach the finals 4:0 or 4:1, the gap in strength between the east and west is large, and coupled with the Thunder's record of being the first in the league, the Pacers will basically not pose too much threat to the Thunder. Especially on the defensive end, the Thunder must be the Pacers first.
Pacers are third in the league in 3-point shooting percentage (40.7%), but their defense is not as good as the Thunder. How strong is the Thunder’s defense? Average of 11.9 steals (first in the league) and 6.1 blocks (fourth in the league), limiting the opponent's shooting percentage to 44.1% (second in the league). Overall defensive efficiency is the first in the league, which is incomparable to the Pacers or the Knicks.

Thunder
US media "FOX" bluntly stated: The offensive firepower of the Pacers or Knicks in the East is like a toy in front of the Thunder's defense, and is not at the same level at all, so there will be no big suspense in the finals. The Thunder are not only strong in defense, but also have the first echelon of the league. Alexander also played the offensive level of MVP: averaging 32.6 points and 6.3 assists per game, and a real shooting percentage of 63.6%, which are both MVP levels! With the Thunder winning the championship, Alexander is likely to win the FMVP and become a double MVP, comparable to Jordan!
It is said that the league has been favoring Alexander and deliberately giving Alexander a lot of whistles; but compared to Jordan, Alexander does not have many whistles, and Jordan averages more free throws than Alexander in the playoffs. Moreover, double-teaming was not popular in Jordan in that era, unlike now, who often double-teams, so Alexander did not have many free throws.

Jordan
Alexander averaged 21.3 times (first in the league), so he can get a lot of whistles. The American media "The Athletic" commented on Alexander: His breakthrough has rhythm and confrontation, and the referee has to give him a whistle, so it is not considered a smacking battle.
Alexander is destined to take the lead this season. Even if he cannot become the new face of the league, he will become the "superstar" of the league! However, the NBA should still restrain itself and don’t give the Thunder too many whistles, because the Thunder itself is terrible and does not need the "care" of the referee at all. The Thunder can win the championship with its hard power. So, I hope the subsequent matches will be more fair. What do you think about this? Comments are welcome, thank you.

Alexander
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