After the East-West Final G3, US media updated the probability of winning the championship: Wolves are 5.1% seen as being disgraceful, is there suspense in the East rebirth?
6:13pm, 27 May 2025Basketball
On May 27, with the deepening of the NBA division finals, two groups of 2-1 have appeared. It is estimated that many fans have guessed this result. The overall strength of the three teams is not much different, so the probability of 3-0 is far less than 2-1. After the G3 in the east and west, the US media also updated the latest probability of winning the championship. Compared with the G2 after the G2, although the ranking has not changed, the probability has changed. Let's take a look.
Timberwolves
Timberwolves' chance of winning the championship is 5.1%, and they are still dissatisfied. Even though they beat the Thunder 40 points in the last game, the outside world is still not optimistic about them. This is understandable. After all, the Thunder was stunned from the first quarter of the series. They failed to adapt to the Timberwolves' strength, and the Thunder gave up the game early in the third quarter, which made the Timberwolves beat them. To be honest, the Thunder did not use all their strength in this game, so the Timberwolves won a game by chance. The outside world is questioning the Thunder's attitude towards the game, but they have their own plans.
The last game was able to defeat his opponent because Edwards had full firepower since the first quarter. Huazi is indeed powerful, but there is still a gap compared to the peak scorers at Durant and James. Especially in terms of offensive stability, you can't expect Shannon, a rookie, to become a surprise player in every game, and Alexander, without any sentry in every game, so the Timberwolves are still at the loss. Today, if the Thunder can win the G3 in both sides' series, it is estimated that this round of series will be over. The Wolves' firepower on the outside is too unstable.
Knicks
Knicks are considered to have a 6% chance of winning the championship. Although they are still behind the Pacers, the gap is not that big. This is understandable. After all, the Knicks won a game, and they seem to have found a way to fight against the Pacers. He is Towns. In the past, Towns really couldn't get the ball, and Brunson always waved the ball himself. Now, Towns relied on his violent performance in the quarter to prove himself. As long as Towns plays hard enough, the opponent's inside players will not match it at all. After all, he is the top inside player in the league.
And Thibodeau has now changed his strategy. He has added lineup rotation and started 9-man rotation. Therefore, the team will not have any problems with poor physical fitness in the final quarter. However, Hart and Towns seem to have been affected by knee injuries, which may become a hidden danger in this round of series. However, the Pacers are not much better. Their starting line, Smith, is also injured, and it seems that the situation is even worse. I hope these three players can return healthy. If the Knicks can tie the big score in the end, then they still have a chance.
Pacers
Pacers are considered to have a 9.5% chance of winning the championship. The Pacers were probably given a painkiller shot in the last game. It is hard to say whether they can play in the game. Even if they say that the game is probably not as good as the previous two games. If Nesmith is injured, I think Carlisle may let Toppin enter the starting lineup. His defense and space ability can help the team, and the team increases its height, which may better protect rebounds and limit Towns. One of the main reasons for their loss in the last game is that the team's core players did not perform very well.
The Pacers' biggest advantage compared to the Knicks is Carlisle. Carlisle's adjustment ability and tactical targeting have always been very strong. It is estimated that Carlisle will focus on Mitchell Robinson in the next game. If Miro dares not play, then the Pacers' advantage will be great. At the same time, Sika will also play to his own singles misplaced advantage. Only when he disrupts the Knicks' defensive formation can the Pacers better defeat their opponents, and Halliburton will also have to come up with a better state. If he wins the match point in the end, he will basically be stable.
Thunder
Thunder are still leading in the off-range, but their probability of winning has declined slightly compared to G2. Even so, the team's probability of winning is still leading in the off-range, reaching a terrifying 79.4%. The best thing about the Thunder team compared to other teams is that they are healthier, and the team's core is mainly young players. Their physical fitness and state may be earlier than other teams. After all, the biggest advantage of young players lies in their physical fitness, and the third young players have a good star temperament.
The best thing about the Thunder is their ability to adjust. In this round of series with the Nuggets, they learned to bottom out and rebound. After losing a game, the team will fight back immediately. And if any core performs poorly in the last game, he will definitely get back the field in the next game. Jewish and Alexander have done this. Their role players are also very good defense. If the Thunder team can win the championship this season, I think they may win the championship in the future and are all popular teams to compete for the championship.
Speaking of this, what do you want to say about these 4 teams? Welcome to leave a message for discussion.
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